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If you build non-events into a broader framework

Photo by Kelly Sikkema on Unsplash

A series of two strange ailments of major politicians of the modern world – the presidents of Turkey and Serbia R.T. Erdogan and A. Vucic, despite rebuttal by official authorities of both states, generated a wave of rumors about the unnatural nature of events. And the more actively the seriousness of the situation was denied, the more it was believed. Of course, it is unlikely that so much information smoke could arise without a fire at all, but the willingness to believe in the unnaturalness of the events that took place goes beyond the usual philistine conspiracy.

Not only ordinary people, but also political experts are not ready to accept the version that a political leader can simply fall ill, especially if this political leader is trying to pursue a policy of defending national interests within the limits available to him (Erdogan – actively, Vucic – rather sluggishly, although his “starting conditions” are weaker).

Now such politicians are in a risk group and can become targets of a terrorist attack.

Add to this the undisguised sadness of the Serbian pro-Western opposition over Vucic’s alleged illness and wishes for his death. Let’s not forget the slightly earlier favorable attitude of European politicians to the statements of Kiev’s representatives about planning the destruction of the Russian president by drones. Taken together, we get a sense of Europe returning, if not to the 16th century, the age of the Medici, then certainly not to the 18th century, the age of Voltaire and elite courtesans.

In Europe, methods of struggle characteristic of the Third World are rapidly becoming politically legalized.

This new European reality, not only political but also moral, will take a long time to get used to.

There are two more layers in this murky story.

The first lies almost on the surface. As soon as the conspiracy wave swept through the information space, almost all commentators, regardless of the degree of conspiracy consciousness, turned their heads in the direction of the United States.

And it is no coincidence: during the last decade of “struggle for democracy” the USA has created such a reputation that it is considered quite normal to consider the version about their involvement in terrorist acts, aimed at elimination of unwanted or even partially acceptable political leaders.

With such a reputation it is impossible to build an “alliance of democracies” without blatant twisting of arms.

The second layer will manifest itself only if integrates the “non-events” into a broader framework. Add to the “poisoning” of Vucic and Erdogan the statements of Bosnian Serb leader Milorad Dodik – from his readiness to block the extension of the EU peacekeeping operation in Bosnia and Herzegovina to withdrawal from the republic.

We should also recall Vucic’s own strange, illogical and aggravating actions with regard to Kosovo. Let us also take into account the active penetration of Erdogan’s Turkey into the Muslim-populated Rašski district of Serbia, and the interest of the Turkish opposition in Albania. Let’s not forget the accelerated start of Kosovo’s admission to the Council of Europe – the final political legalization of the criminal enclave.

The process of unfreezing the situation in the Balkans, which suited the U.S. in general, is taking place before our eyes. And the mass dispersal of rumors about “paired” poisoning of Erdogan and Vucic, who exchanged repeatedly unfriendly remarks, does not look ridiculous anymore, but quite an elaborated information and political combination.

Would the Americans be behind it? Hardly. Too blatantly conspiracy theories are pointing at them, and too obviously all aimed at creating another trouble spot for the United States.

Too English, if you will. I think it used to be called “working under a foreign flag,” and textbooks wrote about “aggravation of inter-imperialist contradictions” on the eve of systemic crises of capitalism.

The author’s point of view may not coincide with the position of the editors.

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