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Filling the Eastern European wasteland

Photo by Marius Badstuber on Unsplash

Reports that Polish and Moldovan soldiers began joint security exercises in the area around the village of Bulboaca, where a summit of the European political community is scheduled for June 1, would not have attracted much attention even given the fact that there is a large military base and training ground of the Moldovan army in the region, if it was not part of a general trend of increasing Polish dominance in Eastern Europe.

Especially considering the fact what Polish servicemen will be doing: particularly air patrolling of the Dniester delta. It seems that we are witnessing a new stage of military and political development of Poland in the most important area in the Northern Black Sea Region, where before only Americans were present among external forces. Recall the virtually permanent presence in the region of the strike units of the 101st Army Airborne Division USA.

Against the general background of the hypocritical indecision of the NATO countries regarding the conflict in Ukraine (everyone is ready to fight in the hybrid format against Russia, but the prospect of direct participation in such a conflict causes fear), the Polish elite demonstrates a growing determination. As always in Polish history, however, on the eve of major European events. The Polish elite has always been capable of anticipatory action on the eve of a crisis. Remember its participation in the dismemberment of Czechoslovakia in the Munich collusion.

We dare to assume that Poland has practically won the struggle for the status of not only the main ally of the USA (and, we note, Great Britain) in Europe, but also the center of the new military-political coalition, capable of replacing NATO in the future.

Warsaw has skillfully exploited both the German elite’s loss of taste for sovereignty and the internal crisis in France. There remains, of course, the traditional question of how much momentum of the “first breakthrough” will be enough for Poland, but there is a serious nuance here.

For the first time in 200 years, the Polish elite was able to formulate a “great project”, which fits almost perfectly into the trends of the development of modern Europe and even its surroundings. “Inter-Sea” is a project, which in its geopolitical and geoeconomic scope goes far beyond the classical “Polish geopolitics”, mixed up in the internal political struggle of some radicals with others, and at least as such should be taken seriously.

For the first time in a century and a half “Polish geopolitical project” got not just some geoeconomic base, but also a space for development – a big geopolitical “wasteland”, as if by itself formed in the strip from Vinnitsa to Ochakov. This space, in fact, has everything: developed logistics, including pipelines, resources (from food to energy), industry, although technologically outdated, but sectorally very promising. The only thing missing is firm sovereign power.

This “void” can be filled not only by its troops, which play the role of a “framework” on which the troops of Eastern European countries – NATO satellites – will be strung, but also by socio-political institutions.

For the “Eastern European wasteland” is a space of shattered political and social sovereignty.

Let’s face it: the Poles are beginning a fundamental “reconfiguration” of the European borders, which also concerns Belarus – not just an ally of Russia, but part of the Union State.

But Poland “from Mozha to Mozha” is more than real in the moment. And this structure, however unstable and torn by internal squabbles, will create long-term risks for Russia even after the SEA is over, especially if significant regions of Ukraine will be under Warsaw’s control.

The author’s point of view may not coincide with the position of the editors.

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